Energy & Precious Metals

How much worse could it get for oil?

Crude prices took their cue from a nosediving stock market to lose up to 16% this week for the biggest weekly tumble since the Great Recession that began in 2008. That’s a known.

But pundits looking at the carnage across markets from the coronavirus epidemic are warning that it could get a lot worse for oil and other risky assets before it gets better.

So, will crude prices drop to $40 a barrel? $30? Or even lower?

With the first death of an American from the coronavirus expected to weigh further on U.S. markets next week – amid reports of Russia still being undecided on the production cuts required by OPEC+ – it’s hard to imagine the selloff in oil is over.

Yet, oil bears may benefit from some immediate caution. While oil is down 25% on the year, two-thirds of the selloff happened in just over the last five days. The intensity of the plunge suggests that some buyback – if not at least a slowing in the decline – may happen.

If not for a technical rebound from oversold conditions, crude prices could still see some support in the coming week from the oil blockade in Iraq and potentially another positive dataset from the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

There could be OPEC jawboning too. With the cartel will be having its much-awaited meeting next week, it would be remiss for Saudi Arabia and other OPEC members not to talk up the market — regardless how much of a cut they ultimately agree with top ally Russia. As Herman Wang and Andrew Critchlow of energy media service Platts cautioned last week, “failure to reach an accord could put the entire OPEC+ pact at risk”.

 

Last updated on Sunday 1, March 2020.

28 thoughts on “Energy & Precious Metals

  1. Isaiah

    Woah! I’m really loving the template/theme of this blog.

    It’s simple, yet effective. A lot of times it’s challenging to get that “perfect balance” between user friendliness and appearance.
    I must say you have done a great job with this. In addition, the blog loads very quick for me on Firefox.
    Excellent Blog!

  2. Dylansmit

    Attractive part of content. I simply stumbled upon your web site and in accession capital to claim that I acquire actually loved
    account your weblog posts. Any way I will be subscribing for your feeds and even I achievement you
    get entry to constantly rapidly.

  3. Steve

    Hey There. I discovered your blog using msn. This is a really smartly written article.
    I’ll be sure to bookmark it and return to learn extra of your useful information. Thank you for the post.
    I will certainly return.

  4. Natalia

    Thanks for your personal marvelous posting!
    I truly enjoyed reading it, you will be a great author.I will always bookmark your blog and
    definitely will come back someday. I want to
    encourage you continue your great posts, have a nice afternoon!

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

*
*

WhatsApp
Start a conversation
We usually respond within minutes